SentencingStats 3.0

Federal Sentencing Intelligence.
From data to advocacy.

SentencingStats brings sentencing data, judicial intelligence, legal research, BOP information and AI-assisted analysis together in one platform built specifically for federal sentencing.

Explore the Platform
SS
District of Vermont • 2nd Circuit
William K. Sessions III
DISCRETION INDEX
+0.78 High Conf.
NATIONAL RANK 1/950 JUDGES
Sentelligence Virtual Analyst
What factors did Judge Lindsay cite for downward variances in similar §2D1.1 cases?
Based on 135 sentences in the Northern District of Texas, Judge Sam A. Lindsay frequently cited (5H1.1) Age and Minor Role.
Sentence Intelligence Report
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SentencingStats
The source for sentencing data and analysis
Sentence Intelligence Report
Filters Applied CUSTOMIZED
FY 2010-2024, CHC I, TOL 29, Lead GL §2D1.1
Case Profile
David Jefferson • §2D1.1 (Level 29)
Judge Sam A. Lindsay • Texas, Northern
Guideline Range
87 to 108 months
Analyze the Case

Understand how similarly situated defendants were actually sentenced.

At the center of SentencingStats is the Sentence Intelligence Report (SIR) — our case-specific analysis of similarly situated federal defendants and sentencing outcomes.

The SIR combines federal sentencing data with Sentelligence AI to surface relevant distributions, geographic differences, below-Guidelines outcomes, unusual patterns and mitigation considerations that may deserve closer examination in an individual case. Rather than relying solely on broad national averages, attorneys can examine a relevant comparison group and understand the range and distribution of actual sentencing outcomes.

From $399 per report
$299 for CJA counsel and Federal Defenders
View Sample Report
Sentelligence Strategic Briefing

Offense Context & Judicial Patterns

Federal courts sentencing under §2D1.1 frequently grapple with the tension between the Guideline's rigid drug-quantity tables and the reality of localized offense conduct. The guideline's heavy reliance on weight often drives prescribed ranges higher than many judges find necessary for defendants with minimal roles or strong mitigating factors.

73.1%
Below-GL Sentence
57.1 mo
Median Sentence
48.3%
Avg. Variance Below

As a structural consequence of this magnitude of departure, the Guideline minimum of 87 months sat between the 78.1st and 93.3rd percentile of actual cohort sentences. This pattern was further underscored by judges citing reduction of unwarranted sentencing disparity 214 times.

Understand how your judge exercises discretion—and the factors they cite in below-Guidelines sentences.

What the judge says

Federal Judge Sentencing Analyzer

The Federal Judge Sentencing Analyzer uses AI to extract nuanced information and semantic meaning directly from federal sentencing transcripts. By analyzing multiple proceedings, FJSA reveals patterns in an individual judge's reasoning — including how they evaluate mitigating and aggravating factors, and the specific rationales they employ when granting downward variances or departing from the Guidelines.

Court Record • Sent. Transcript
12  THE COURT: Mr. Jefferson, I have reviewed the
13  letters from your family and your employer. It
14  is clear you played a minor role in this overall
15  conspiracy, and your age is certainly a factor
16  I must consider under the 3553(a) factors. A
17  sentence of 87 months would be greater than
18  necessary.
FJSA Extracted Insight

Mitigation Addressed

Judge Lindsay actively credits (5H1.1) Age and Minor Role as grounds for downward variance in drug conspiracy proceedings.

Pattern Match: Aligns with 191 previous §2D1.1 cases in this district where age and role were successfully argued.
What the judge does

Judicial Discretion Index

A quantitative view of how an individual judge exercises sentencing discretion relative to their peers, providing a data-driven measure of their propensity to depart or vary from the Guidelines.

Reasons the judge cites

ReasonRank

Analyze Statement of Reasons data to identify the specific factors and grounds an individual judge formally cites for below-Guidelines sentences, and compare those patterns across the district and nation.

The Intelligence Layer

AI built around federal sentencing.

Sentelligence is the intelligence layer running throughout SentencingStats. Specialized AI systems help structure information from court documents, assist with sentencing research and report development, surface insights within Sentence Intelligence Reports, analyze federal sentencing transcripts, and automate portions of our expert-analysis and declaration workflows.

The objective is straightforward: reduce the manual work between finding sentencing information and understanding what it may mean for the individual case — while keeping attorneys and our sentencing experts in control of the analysis.

DATA + AUTHORITIES
Court Records · Sentencing Data · Guidelines & Law
SENTELLIGENCE
ANALYZE · RESEARCH · REPORT · DECLARE
Research the Law

Ask sentencing questions in the context of the work you’re already doing.

Virtual Sentencing Analyst

The Virtual Sentencing Analyst provides a conversational interface built specifically around federal sentencing.

Attorneys can use it to develop reports, navigate the platform, and research Guidelines provisions, Sentencing Commission manuals and primers, Supreme Court decisions and other sentencing authorities.

Virtual Analyst
SentencingStats 3.0
I'm preparing for a sentencing in the Northern District of Texas under §2D1.1. My client is 60 years old. What reasons do judges in this district most frequently cite when granting a downward variance?

Based on an analysis of 135 recent §2D1.1 sentences in the Northern District of Texas, below-Guideline sentences were granted in 48.1% of cases.

Top reasons cited for varying downward:

  1. Family ties and responsibilities (239 times)
  2. Reduction of unwarranted disparity (214 times)
  3. (5H1.1) Age of the defendant (191 times)
Relevant Insight for your 60-year-old client: When judges cited age as a mitigating factor, the median sentence imposed dropped to 42.0 months (compared to the overall cohort median of 57.1 months).

Case Management

Create a matter once and keep defendant information, analyses and reports organized around the case. Case data can then be used across multiple SentencingStats workflows without repeatedly rebuilding the same case profile.

Case Reports & Analyses
Justin Jones
§2G2.2 - Child Pornography
Post-Plea
  • SIR Report
  • Life Expectancy
Jennifer Martin
§2B1.1 - Fraud
Pre-Sentencing
  • SIR Report
  • Expert Declaration
Case Analysis & Advocacy

Move from data to usable sentencing analysis.

Interactive Sentencing Table

Explore the data.

Move through Guidelines ranges while examining historical sentencing outcomes and filtering the underlying dataset to create increasingly relevant groups of comparable defendants.

Life Expectancy Analysis

Measure the practical impact of imprisonment.

Uses published actuarial information and peer-reviewed research examining incarceration and mortality to estimate how imprisonment may affect an individual defendant’s remaining life expectancy.

View Sample Life Expectancy Analysis

Automated Expert Declarations

Turn analysis into expert-supported work product.

Sentelligence automates much of the underlying analysis, drafting and assembly required for our expert declarations, allowing SentencingStats data experts to produce detailed case-specific declarations in a matter of hours rather than days and at substantially lower cost.

Sentelligence-assisted analysis Expert review Expert declaration
SentencingStats.com
The source for sentencing data and analysis
August 7, 2026

Declaration of Darren Kramer, Chief Executive Officer
SentencingStats.com, Inc.

15.

As illustrated, Ms. Brown is not expected to survive more than approximately 18 years in custody, statistically reaching an estimated shortened life expectancy of approximately 49.3 years of age and losing approximately 36 years of additional life...

I declare under penalty of perjury under the laws of the United States of America that the foregoing is true and correct.

Darren Kramer

Darren Kramer

Chief Executive Officer & Co-Founder

Know the conditions behind the designation.

The BOP Capacity Explorer provides current population and rated-capacity information for federal correctional institutions across the country.

Updated weekly, it allows attorneys to see which facilities are operating above or below capacity and examine facilities geographically when considering designation requests, sentencing recommendations and other BOP-related issues.

NATIONAL OVERVIEW

BOP Facility Capacities

CURRENT INMATE POPULATION
143,493
COMBINED RATED CAPACITY
127,395
+12.6% Over Capacity
Combined Rated Capacity: 127,395

One case, an ongoing practice, or an entire office.

Use SentencingStats when a single matter calls for deeper analysis, make it part of your regular practice, or deploy the platform across an entire team.

ONE CASE

À la carte

Order a Sentence Intelligence Report or other analysis when a matter calls for it. No subscription required.

Representing a client through a CJA appointment? Ask about CJA pricing.
Most Popular
ONGOING PRACTICE

Subscription

$399/month

Receive up to three Sentence Intelligence Reports each month, with ongoing access to SentencingStats for attorneys handling federal sentencing matters regularly.

ENTIRE OFFICE

Federal Defender Office & Enterprise

Deploy SentencingStats across a firm, team, or Federal Defender office—with centralized administration, account management, permissions, collaborative workflows, training, and enterprise-grade support.